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Palin for Gingrich? At least in South Carolina

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We’ve heard the rumblings before from former Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin that she liked what she heard in debates from former Speaker Newt Gingrich. But Tuesday she joined in with her husband Todd by endorsing Gingrich….if only in South Carolina.

If “going rogue” is the baseline from which Palin pushes endorsements, then it all makes sense. Gingrich has had an erratic campaign, and has an erratic campaign style. His early campaign missteps (including cruises, a ill-worded attack on Rep. Paul Ryan and losing his staff) were wiped away by consistent debate performances. Once Gingrich had established himself as the “zinger” candidate, and his poll numbers rose, he moved into substance and the numbers got even bigger.

That gave way just weeks before the Iowa Caucus, where a barrage of unanswered negative ads against Gingrich by Gov. Mitt Romney and Rep. Ron Paul pushed him into a humbling fourth place finish. He shed the positive, “nice guy” approach, and went mean. Mean, in this case, meaning a blinding rage. His attack on Romney’s time at Bain Capital ended up being an attack on capitalism. The backfire was immediate, and even Gingrich admitted that his approach wasn’t a good idea. According to Craig Robinson of TIRNation.com, the film, “When Mitt Came To Town,” made by the Gingrich Super-PAC Winning the Future, “…could have been directed by Michael Moore.”

For all of that, Gingrich’s poll numbers did not suffer in South Carolina or Florida, holding at over 20% in both states. But that was before the debate in Myrtle Beach, SC, where Gingrich engaged his best performance yet. His answers on national defense and jobs were met with furious applause, and a standing ovation (to which, I have found no one who has ever seen one before in a debate.)

Palin has seen the ups and downs of a campaign, and seems to have an affinity for people who speak their minds, at nearly all times. When Palin gave her endorsement, she stated:

If I had to vote in South Carolina, in order to keep things going, I’d vote for Newt…I want to see this thing continue because iron sharpens iron, steel sharpens steel

Is that actually an endorsement, or is it something else? Why would Palin want to keep things going? Is it, as she puts it, to help the candidates make each other stronger? Is Palin using Newt as her chance to better vet the candidates in Florida? Conventional wisdom states that if Romney wins in SC, he will run the table to the GOP nomination. However, if he loses, the Florida contest on January 31st becomes pivotal, along with the two debates before the primary.

Romney has not agreed to those debates. His strategist, Stuart Stevens, said there are simply too many debates:

There are too many of these…We have to bring some order to it.  We haven’t accepted Florida…It’s kind of like a cruise that’s gone on too long

Based on Palin’s South Carolina endorsement, it seems that she has not had enough debates. If her devoted fan base listens, and votes for Newt, the race will continue, and expect to see Romney campaigning hard in Florida.

TKRS – 12-21-11 – The Payroll Tax Stunt, Craig Robinson and is Sarah Palin running?

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Tony talks about the continuing stunt known as the Payroll Tax Cut  Is there no end to the political grandstanding?  Then, Craig Robinson of TheIowaRepublican.com talks about the latest Rasmussen poll.  Finally, is Sarah Palin sending a signal about wanting to run?

Tony Katz talks about The Palin Nation

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Tony Katz, host of The Tony Katz Radio Spectacular, was one of the speakers at the Restoring America Tea Party Rally in Indianola, IA on September 3rd. Video of Tony’s speech will be up at AllPatriotsMedia.com soon. Here is his article for Pajamas Media on “Assessing the Palin Nation,” along with some incredible video:

When former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin took the stage at the Restoring America Tea Party Rally in Indianola, IA, the crowd that had sat through two and half hours of rain and humidity jumped to their feet and cheered.  The view from your TV could lead you to believe it was just another rally. Being there, however, gives a whole new look into what Palin means to those who love her, and what Palin Nation will do to get her to run, and elected.

Palin’s speech, at least the bullet points, was somewhat leaked in the days prior to the event.  She was going to bring a full on assault against crony capitalism, and the “good old boys” network.  This has been a continual theme of Palin.  She broke through that network to get elected in Alaska, and utilized this outsider approach in her introduction to the world stage as the Vice-Presidential nominee of Sen. John McCain in 2008.

She delivered.  On crony capitalism, she explained clearly the perils associated with the disassociation from free markets:

This is not the capitalism of free men and free markets, of innovation and hard work and ethics, of sacrifice and of risk. No, this is the capitalism of connections and government bailouts and handouts, of waste and influence peddling and corporate welfare. This is the crony capitalism that destroyed Europe’s economies. It’s the collusion of big government and big business and big finance to the detriment of all the rest – to the little guys.

When Palin posited to the crowd, “…what or who we will replace him (Obama) with…,” the crowd erupted.  The chants of “Run, Sarah, Run!” went throughout the grounds.  They cheered in every corner, they cheered from the booths selling every imaginable Palin-esqe tchotchke.  By this time, the crowd had grown.  During the rain – big rains – some of the crowd stayed in their cars, or in the booths at the top of the venue.  While we could see the constant stream of cars coming in from our view on stage, we could not see where they were parked.  But as the moment approached of Palin’s speech, the crowd filled in nicely for a rain soaked day.

Many looked to Palin’s speech as proof that she is going to announce, or not announce, her run for President.  Those people miss the point.  To understand what is happening, one needs to be on the ground with the people.  You need to look into their eyes, listen to them speak, watch them react.

In Iowa, Palin has more than just love and admiration on her side.  She also has a constituency.  While Rep. Michele Bachmann and Governor Rick Perry both occupy the same space – the fiscal agenda that the Tea Party approves of, along with strong leanings to the social conservative side – that space is not fully explained or understood without Palin.  Never mind any polling that includes Palin now, that is polling of a “maybe” Palin. Those numbers will be far different when people choose on a “candidate” Palin.  And, as Palin said to huge applause and laughs – “Polls are for strippers and cross-country skiers!”

If Palin gets into the race, Bachmann will face huge challenges in Iowa. If Palin gets into the race, Perry will face challenges nationwide.  More than Iowa was represented in Indianola.  People came from California, Nebraska, Illinois and Missouri to name a few states.  They also came from Texas.  While Perry is a three-term governor, his vetting has only come from the Texas press.  People on the ground feel that Palin has already been vetted by America.  For more than three years, she has suffered through the whimsical and the wicked attacks.  She has been called every name, used in every uninspired analogy and, simply, they see her as the stronger candidate.

Peter Singleton, who runs the Iowa chapter of Organize4Palin.com, stated clearly that both Bachmann and Perry are good at delivering rhetoric.   Singleton called Perry’s record in Texas, “…not that conservative.”  On Bachmann, while praising her willingness to stand up to the Obama Administration, Singleton said, “…(Bachmann) has been big on inspiring rhetoric, but has not been as strong on specific substantive policy proposals..,” like Palin has.

In her speech, Palin backed up Singleton’s thesis, and came forth with ideas.  She talked about what she – or perhaps someone she approves of? – should do if President.  As Jedediah Bila commented on The Daily Caller:

Most importantly, she offered real  solutions, including a plan that serves as a stark contrast to our president’s  perpetual empty rhetoric: repeal Obamacare, uphold the Tenth Amendment, rein in  overregulation, prioritize significant and legitimate spending cuts, cancel  unused stimulus money, “own up to the debt challenge that is entitlement  reform,” tap into our God-given energy resources and make America “the most  attractive and competitive place to do business” by eliminating all federal  corporate income tax, corporate welfare and loopholes.

After it was over, Palin left the stage to sign autographs.  20 minutes later, she was still signing autographs.  When it looked like she was going to finish, she turned back to sign more books, more t-shirts, more bumper stickers  She didn’t stop.  She signed, she smiled, she talked, she listened.  All the while, the crowd pushed towards her, beckoning her, begging her for a few seconds of her time.  At one moment, a young man approached, looking for Palin to sign his t-shirt. After signing the shirt, Palin gave the man a hug.  He then put his hand to his mouth, and began to cry.

It was like watching a Justin Beiber fan win front row seats.  It’s a reaction that you do not see at Bachmann rallies, and you will never see at a Perry rally….nor a Romney rally.

Craig Robinson, editor and publisher of The Iowa Republican.com, former political director of the Iowa Republican Party and with whom PJTV worked with to cover the Iowa Straw Poll, wrote this about Palin before the day of the event:

It takes more than just a willing politician to pull off a presidential campaign. Palin has always had the star power and charisma to succeed on the national stage, but that will only take her so far. Palin may have an inner circle that advises her, but what she needs are loyal professionals who will look out for her best interests in everything she is involved with.

To run for president you need people who will put their lives on hold and who will put their candidate’s best interests above their own. Palin doesn’t have anyone in Iowa that fits that bill. That alone is the reason why I’ve never thought she is running for president in 2012.

Robinson also stated that her speech would have to be “perfect” to avoid her “negative stereotype;” a stereotype placed upon her by the mainstream press.  From all accounts, it’s clear that Palin gave a speech that clearly articulates a vision for America, her disdain for the status quo and an open question regarding who in the GOP field is really qualified to take on President Obama and lead the nation.  It was a “perfect” speech for the occasion.  But what of Robinson’s view that Palin simply doesn’t have the Iowa ground game to make a presidential run possible?

The Palin Nation would argue that this isn’t a normal election, and this isn’t a normal candidate.  That what Robinson argues might be true of traditional politics, but Palin is not traditional.  What draws people, those on the ground, is her folksy appeal.  The idea that Palin is just like them; just a mom, just a wife, just worried about her nation and her children’s future.  But, in politics, and her personal life, Palin is in many ways nothing like them.  And politics, for all that it has changed with the Tea Party, still has rules.  Money and organization do matter.  Even more than that is setting the expectation.  In an email, Robinson elaborated on his point:

Her speech, especially the portion where she laid out her platform, makes it hard to believe that she not going to run for president in 2012.  Her ability to connect, motivate, and inspire members of the Tea Party would make her formidable populist candidate.  As we have seen time and time again, the rules of campaigns past don’t apply to Sarah Palin, but the calendar and the clock still do.  If Palin jumped into the race rather soon she can probably make up for lost time.

However, with the caucuses just months five months away and the possibility that they make move up to January, every second that Palin waits to announce works against her. Palin doesn’t need to do well in Iowa, she needs to win the Iowa caucuses outright.  If she can’t win it here, she’s probably not going to win anywhere else.  For Palin, the road to the nomination has to include a victory in the Iowa caucuses. It’s that simple.

It is anyone’s guess as to whether or not Palin announces a run for the presidency.  But it is clear that the decision is all hers.  Yes, she needs to have the fundamentals in place in Iowa, and nationwide, to move forward with a Presidential run.  But, as Robinson and Bila point out, she has made a case – and has politically differentiated herself from the field.  If she should decide, Iowa, and Palin Nation, will follow. They will campaign relentlessly.  They will fundraise constantly.  They will stand in the rain, in the blazing sun, in the bitter cold.  They will make Obama supporters of ’08 look like chumps compared to the work they are willing to do.  Palin Nation, from every indication, will not rest until their Grizzly is in the White Den.  It is an authentic intangible that no other candidate, including President Obama, can engage.  And it may make all the difference.

Tony Katz Radio – Wednesday, August 31 2011

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Tony fills everyone in on the Obama Doctrine, and speaks directly to the issues now surrounding the Iowa Tea Party event.

Tony Katz Radio – Tuesday, August 30th 2011

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Tony speaks with PJM contributor Patrick Poole about the latest developments in Operation Fast and Furious. Then, Tony gives the lowdown on the Sarah Palin appearance in Iowa.

Tony Katz Radio – Friday, June 10th 2011

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As happens on Friday, the VodkaPundit, Stephen Green, joins Tony to talk about the news of the day. What did we learn from all of those Sarah Palin emails, and was Rep. McCotter right about the auto bailout?

Tony Katz Talks Palin and Bachmann on MSNBC

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The press is trying to create a cat fight between Sarah Palin and Rep. Michele Bachmann. Tony goes on MSNBC to remind everyone that the “fight” is manufactured, Palin should not be counted out, Bachmann has big support and Ed Rollins made a “rookie” mistake. On with Tony is conservative politico Princella Smith. Richard Lui is in for Contessa Brewer.

Over the Hill and Tina Fey

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I read Tina Fey’s book Bossypants last week. While it’s funny, it’s a difficult read because I think she would hate me and everything that I stand for, something she makes abundantly clear throughout the book. She has footnotes and little asides about how evil conservatives are. Which is not surprising since she played a huge role in bringing down Sarah Palin.

The most annoying thing Fey wrote was towards the end of the book because it perpetuates a myth about Hollywood that I’m getting sick of: that no actress over 40 is allowed on film in Hollywood. This is a myth I have heard all my life: its stated by everyone in the media as fact. Rosanna Arquette even made a movie about it called Searching for Deborah Winger where a bunch of still beautiful stars whine about the lack of roles for older actresses in Hollywood.

For the rest of the article – Click Here

Tony Katz from the Madison Tax Day Tea Party

Tony Katz at the Madison, Wisconsin Tax Day Tea Party

Tony Katz was one of the featured speakers of the Madison, Wisconsin Tax Day Tea Party on April 16th, 2011. He was part of a line-up that included Andrew Breitbart, John Fund, radio host Vicki McKenna and Gov. Sarah Palin.

Tony Katz Radio – Thursday, April 14th 2011

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Getting ready for the Tea Party Weekend, Tony talks with organizer Nancy Mistle about the events in Madison, and the announcement of Sarah Palin as the keynote speaker. Then, Fini Goodman gives her Donald Trump conspiracy theory.